DeepSeek Caused Nvidia To Experience Largest Single-day Loss In Wall Street History Walker Crips' Market Commentary podcast

8:22

The UK economy showed further signs of strain last week, with job postings hitting a four-year low in January. Wages continued to rise, reaching a record average of £40,846, adding to the Bank of England’s (“BoE”) inflationary concerns. Retailers warned of price increases due to higher national insurance and minimum wage hikes, particularly in the food sector. Meanwhile, a Reuters poll suggested the BoE could cut rates to 3.75% this year, with housing prices expected to rise as borrowing costs fall. The net-zero economy remained a bright spot, growing three times faster than the overall economy and contributing £83 billion in Gross Value Added (“GVA”). However, higher energy bills and taxation concerns are weighing on businesses, with two-thirds of hospitality firms set to cut jobs. Despite economic pressures, Lloyd's business barometer showed optimism, rebounding to its highest level since August 2024... Stocks featured: BAE Systems, Rolls-Royce and WPP To find out more about the investment management services offered by Walker Crips, please visit our website: https://www.walkercrips.co.uk/ This podcast is intended to be Walker Crips Investment Management’s own commentary on markets. It is not investment research and should not be construed as an offer or solicitation to buy, sell or trade in any of the investments, sectors or asset classes mentioned. The value of any investment and the income arising from it is not guaranteed and can fall as well as rise, so that you may not get back the amount you originally invested. Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Movements in exchange rates can have an adverse effect on the value, price or income of any non-sterling denominated investment. Nothing in this podcast constitutes advice to undertake a transaction, and if you require professional advice you should contact your financial adviser or your usual contact at Walker Crips. Walker Crips Investment Management Limited is authorised and regulated by the Financial Conduct Authority (FRN: 226344) and is a member of the London Stock Exchange. Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.…

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UK Chancellor Reeves under pressure to adjust fiscal policy 7:41

πριν 11 μέρες7:41

7:41

Last week, Bank of England ("BoE") Governor Andrew Bailey reaffirmed a cautious policy stance, highlighting the UK economy’s stagnation despite a slightly stronger fourth quarter Gross Domestic Product (“GDP”). Inflation surprised on the upside, rising to 3% in January - its highest in 10 months - driven by transport and food costs. Wage growth showed mixed signals, with official data indicating resilience but private surveys pointing to a slowdown. The job market weakened, with rising redundancies ahead of April’s National Insurance hike. Retail sales unexpectedly surged in January, but consumer confidence hit its lowest level since Labour took office. Corporate insolvencies reached a five-year-high, particularly in construction and retail. Meanwhile, manufacturing volumes continued to decline, although future expectations improved... Stocks featured: Centrica, Glencore and Lloyds Banking Group To find out more about the investment management services offered by Walker Crips, please visit our website: https://www.walkercrips.co.uk/ This podcast is intended to be Walker Crips Investment Management’s own commentary on markets. It is not investment research and should not be construed as an offer or solicitation to buy, sell or trade in any of the investments, sectors or asset classes mentioned. The value of any investment and the income arising from it is not guaranteed and can fall as well as rise, so that you may not get back the amount you originally invested. Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Movements in exchange rates can have an adverse effect on the value, price or income of any non-sterling denominated investment. Nothing in this podcast constitutes advice to undertake a transaction, and if you require professional advice you should contact your financial adviser or your usual contact at Walker Crips. Walker Crips Investment Management Limited is authorised and regulated by the Financial Conduct Authority (FRN: 226344) and is a member of the London Stock Exchange. Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.…

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Strong demand for bonds as Britons buy the most gilts in 4 years 8:10

πριν 18 μέρες8:10

8:10

The UK economy faced mixed signals last week, with the Bank of England ("BoE") rate cuts struggling to filter through to borrowing costs, partly due to US market influence. Chief Economist Huw Pill warned against assuming inflation is conquered, advocating for a cautious policy approach. Meanwhile, the labour market has weakened significantly, with job vacancies falling at their fastest pace since 2020. Consumer confidence remained shaky, with fears of unemployment dampening spending. However, retail sales surprised positively, driven by health and beauty trends. Gross Domestic Product (“GDP”) data showed unexpected growth of 0.1% in the fourth quarter, defying recession expectations, while housing activity stalled. Despite economic uncertainty, chief executives remained optimistic about business prospects... Stocks featured: British American Tobacco, Coca-Cola HBC and Unilever To find out more about the investment management services offered by Walker Crips, please visit our website: https://www.walkercrips.co.uk/ This podcast is intended to be Walker Crips Investment Management’s own commentary on markets. It is not investment research and should not be construed as an offer or solicitation to buy, sell or trade in any of the investments, sectors or asset classes mentioned. The value of any investment and the income arising from it is not guaranteed and can fall as well as rise, so that you may not get back the amount you originally invested. Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Movements in exchange rates can have an adverse effect on the value, price or income of any non-sterling denominated investment. Nothing in this podcast constitutes advice to undertake a transaction, and if you require professional advice you should contact your financial adviser or your usual contact at Walker Crips. Walker Crips Investment Management Limited is authorised and regulated by the Financial Conduct Authority (FRN: 226344) and is a member of the London Stock Exchange. Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.…

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Sterling strengthens for eight consecutive days, buoyed by improved EU and US relations 7:55

πριν 25 μέρες7:55

7:55

Last week the Bank of England (“BoE”) cut interest rates by 0.25%, with Governor Andrew Bailey urging caution over the split vote. Markets are still priced in for two more cuts this year, despite inflation forecasts remaining above target until 2027. The UK manufacturing sector contracted for the fourth month, with rising input costs squeezing small firms. Meanwhile, the services Purchasing Managers' Index (“PMI”) edged down, with job cuts accelerating. Grocery inflation slowed, but supermarkets warned of rising costs due to tax and wage increases. Budget retailers struggled, highlighting pressures on low-income consumers... Stocks featured: BBGI Global Infrastructure, WAG Payment Solutions and Wizz Air To find out more about the investment management services offered by Walker Crips, please visit our website: https://www.walkercrips.co.uk/ This podcast is intended to be Walker Crips Investment Management’s own commentary on markets. It is not investment research and should not be construed as an offer or solicitation to buy, sell or trade in any of the investments, sectors or asset classes mentioned. The value of any investment and the income arising from it is not guaranteed and can fall as well as rise, so that you may not get back the amount you originally invested. Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Movements in exchange rates can have an adverse effect on the value, price or income of any non-sterling denominated investment. Nothing in this podcast constitutes advice to undertake a transaction, and if you require professional advice you should contact your financial adviser or your usual contact at Walker Crips. Walker Crips Investment Management Limited is authorised and regulated by the Financial Conduct Authority (FRN: 226344) and is a member of the London Stock Exchange. Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.…

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Bank of England faces tough policy decision 8:09

πριν περίπου ένα χρόνο8:09

8:09

The Bank of England (“BoE”) faces a tough policy decision ahead of its 6th February meeting, as economic pressures mount. Business activity has slumped to its weakest since the Covid-19 pandemic, with firms cutting jobs and raising prices in response to tax hikes. Consumer spending remained fragile, and corporate profit warnings are at a post-dot-com high. Market expectations point to an 80% chance of a 0.25% rate cut to 4.50%, though inflation risks may limit further easing. Employers have tightened wage growth, and firms have depleted pandemic-era cash reserves. While shop price deflation continues, food prices have risen at their fastest rate in nine months. Morgan Stanley has slashed the UK’s growth outlook to 0.9% for 2025, citing weak business confidence. Despite a slight improvement in employer sentiment, overall business confidence has dropped to a 13-month low... Stocks featured: Airtel Africa, Glencore and St. James’s Place To find out more about the investment management services offered by Walker Crips, please visit our website: https://www.walkercrips.co.uk/ This podcast is intended to be Walker Crips Investment Management’s own commentary on markets. It is not investment research and should not be construed as an offer or solicitation to buy, sell or trade in any of the investments, sectors or asset classes mentioned. The value of any investment and the income arising from it is not guaranteed and can fall as well as rise, so that you may not get back the amount you originally invested. Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Movements in exchange rates can have an adverse effect on the value, price or income of any non-sterling denominated investment. Nothing in this podcast constitutes advice to undertake a transaction, and if you require professional advice you should contact your financial adviser or your usual contact at Walker Crips. Walker Crips Investment Management Limited is authorised and regulated by the Financial Conduct Authority (FRN: 226344) and is a member of the London Stock Exchange. Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.…

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DeepSeek caused Nvidia to experience largest single-day loss in Wall Street history 8:11

πριν περίπου ένα χρόνο8:11

8:11

The UK economy is grappling with significant challenges as consumer confidence slumped in January, which was reflected in weak survey data from the British Retail Consortium. Industrial sentiment is at a two-year low, with output volumes falling at their steepest rate in four years, signalling more contraction ahead. Bloomberg warned of more frequent recessions due to weak growth potential, while stagnant wages since 2008 compounded economic pressures. The labour market is softening, with rising unemployment and declining vacancies, although wage growth remains high, adding to inflationary risks. Despite these headwinds, the Guardian reported that the UK remains the second most attractive country for investment, indicating long-term resilience. The Purchasing Managers' Index (“PMI”) data shows a slight improvement in activity, led by the services sector, but new work continues to decline... Stocks featured: Associated British Foods, Games Workshop and Intermediate Capital Group To find out more about the investment management services offered by Walker Crips, please visit our website: https://www.walkercrips.co.uk/ This podcast is intended to be Walker Crips Investment Management’s own commentary on markets. It is not investment research and should not be construed as an offer or solicitation to buy, sell or trade in any of the investments, sectors or asset classes mentioned. The value of any investment and the income arising from it is not guaranteed and can fall as well as rise, so that you may not get back the amount you originally invested. Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Movements in exchange rates can have an adverse effect on the value, price or income of any non-sterling denominated investment. Nothing in this podcast constitutes advice to undertake a transaction, and if you require professional advice you should contact your financial adviser or your usual contact at Walker Crips. Walker Crips Investment Management Limited is authorised and regulated by the Financial Conduct Authority (FRN: 226344) and is a member of the London Stock Exchange. Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.…

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UK inflation falls to lowest level since early 2021 7:48

πριν περίπου ένα χρόνο7:48

7:48

The UK economy faced mixed signals this week as inflation slowed unexpectedly in December, dropping to 2.5%, the lowest since early 2021, driven by lower energy and food costs. This has heightened expectations for Bank of England (“BoE”) rate cuts, with the market pricing in three reductions this year. However, core inflation remained stable, and economic growth is stagnating, raising concerns about stagflation. Business confidence plunged to a two-year low amid higher taxes and weak demand, while large firms plan hiring cuts and scaled-back investments following the Chancellor’s £25 billion social security charge hike. UK trade growth prospects remain subdued, with Boston Consulting Group projecting just 0.7% annual growth until 2033, hindered by Brexit and global supply chain shifts. Retailers, facing rising taxes and wages, are hiking prices, adding to consumer pressures... Stocks featured: Genus, JD Sports and Trustpilot Group To find out more about the investment management services offered by Walker Crips, please visit our website: https://www.walkercrips.co.uk/ This podcast is intended to be Walker Crips Investment Management’s own commentary on markets. It is not investment research and should not be construed as an offer or solicitation to buy, sell or trade in any of the investments, sectors or asset classes mentioned. The value of any investment and the income arising from it is not guaranteed and can fall as well as rise, so that you may not get back the amount you originally invested. Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Movements in exchange rates can have an adverse effect on the value, price or income of any non-sterling denominated investment. Nothing in this podcast constitutes advice to undertake a transaction, and if you require professional advice you should contact your financial adviser or your usual contact at Walker Crips. Walker Crips Investment Management Limited is authorised and regulated by the Financial Conduct Authority (FRN: 226344) and is a member of the London Stock Exchange. Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.…

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Rising gilt yields threaten UK government's fiscal headroom 8:04

πριν περίπου ένα χρόνο8:04

8:04

The UK economy faced significant headwinds in 2024, marked by stagnation and subdued growth. December’s Purchasing Managers’ Index (“PMI”) data revealed the weakest private sector performance since October 2023, with composite PMI at 50.4 and a sharp decline in new orders. Rising payroll costs and declining demand drove the steepest fall in employment since January 2021, while business confidence fell to a two-year low following tax increases in the Autumn Budget. Although KPMG raised its 2025 Gross Domestic Product (“GDP”) forecast to 1.7% due to expansionary fiscal policy, 2024 growth remained modest at 0.7%, with inflation averaging persistently high levels. Despite signals of gradual rate cuts from the Bank of England, bond market volatility added uncertainty to the outlook. Stocks featured: Clarksons, Greggs and Just Group To find out more about the investment management services offered by Walker Crips, please visit our website: https://www.walkercrips.co.uk/ This podcast is intended to be Walker Crips Investment Management’s own commentary on markets. It is not investment research and should not be construed as an offer or solicitation to buy, sell or trade in any of the investments, sectors or asset classes mentioned. The value of any investment and the income arising from it is not guaranteed and can fall as well as rise, so that you may not get back the amount you originally invested. Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Movements in exchange rates can have an adverse effect on the value, price or income of any non-sterling denominated investment. Nothing in this podcast constitutes advice to undertake a transaction, and if you require professional advice you should contact your financial adviser or your usual contact at Walker Crips. Walker Crips Investment Management Limited is authorised and regulated by the Financial Conduct Authority (FRN: 226344) and is a member of the London Stock Exchange. Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.…

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UK ministers tasked with finding 5% budget savings 8:17

πριν περίπου ένα χρόνο8:17

8:17

The Bank of England ("BoE") is expected to maintain a cautious approach to rate cuts in the coming months, with a Reuters survey showing a 10% chance of one happening this week. Investors also predict three rate reductions in 2025, totalling 0.75%, so a more measured path than the European Central Bank's ("ECB") anticipated 1.5%. However, the BoE faces challenges from sticky inflation and elevated neutral rate estimates, with policymakers signalling a lower bound near 3.5%. Meanwhile, UK economic indicators painted a mixed picture last week. GDP contracted by 0.1% in October, job vacancies sharply declined and insolvencies are rising amid cost pressures. Consumer confidence remains weak despite slight improvements. Public inflation expectations have also edged higher, complicating the BoE's policy outlook. With businesses cautious about growth and labour shortages hindering productivity, the UK economy could close 2024 in contraction, highlighting the fragile state of the recovery. Stocks featured: Currys, Raspberry Pi and SThree To find out more about the investment management services offered by Walker Crips, please visit our website: https://www.walkercrips.co.uk/ This podcast is intended to be Walker Crips Investment Management’s own commentary on markets. It is not investment research and should not be construed as an offer or solicitation to buy, sell or trade in any of the investments, sectors or asset classes mentioned. The value of any investment and the income arising from it is not guaranteed and can fall as well as rise, so that you may not get back the amount you originally invested. Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Movements in exchange rates can have an adverse effect on the value, price or income of any non-sterling denominated investment. Nothing in this podcast constitutes advice to undertake a transaction, and if you require professional advice you should contact your financial adviser or your usual contact at Walker Crips. Walker Crips Investment Management Limited is authorised and regulated by the Financial Conduct Authority (FRN: 226344) and is a member of the London Stock Exchange. Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.…

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Starmer rejects notion that Britain must choose between the US and EU 7:37

πριν περίπου ένα χρόνο7:37

7:37

The UK economy is grappling with challenges as business confidence falters and retail sales dip. The Lloyds Bank business barometer fell to a five-month low of 41%, highlighting economic uncertainty, though firms remain optimistic about their trading prospects. Surveys from the Confederation of British Industry and the Institute of Directors indicate shrinking private sector activity and the lowest business confidence since April 2020. Elevated borrowing costs and higher employment taxes are straining businesses, dampening hiring and investment. Despite these difficulties, the Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development (“OECD”) forecasts stronger growth by 2025, driven by public spending, though inflation is expected to stay above target. Stocks featured: Frasers Group, International Consolidated Airlines Group and Legal & General Group To find out more about the investment management services offered by Walker Crips, please visit our website: https://www.walkercrips.co.uk/ This podcast is intended to be Walker Crips Investment Management’s own commentary on markets. It is not investment research and should not be construed as an offer or solicitation to buy, sell or trade in any of the investments, sectors or asset classes mentioned. The value of any investment and the income arising from it is not guaranteed and can fall as well as rise, so that you may not get back the amount you originally invested. Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Movements in exchange rates can have an adverse effect on the value, price or income of any non-sterling denominated investment. Nothing in this podcast constitutes advice to undertake a transaction, and if you require professional advice you should contact your financial adviser or your usual contact at Walker Crips. Walker Crips Investment Management Limited is authorised and regulated by the Financial Conduct Authority (FRN: 226344) and is a member of the London Stock Exchange. Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.…

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Bessent's selection as Trump's Treasury Secretary reassures markets 7:56

πριν περίπου ένα χρόνο7:56

7:56

Last week, key economic updates highlighted mixed signals for the UK. Bank of England (“BoE”) Deputy Governor Clare Lombardelli expressed caution over wage growth trends, warning that a slowdown in wage disinflation might necessitate careful rate cut strategies. BoE official Swati Dhingra noted the UK is no longer an inflation outlier but stressed the difficulty of accurate inflation forecasting due to unreliable data. The Confederation of British Industry (“CBI”) painted a sombre picture, with surveys showing weakening sentiment in the retail and services sectors. Job cuts loom as firms grapple with tax hikes, while higher wages ahead of the holidays offer a short-term boost in hiring for sectors such as retail and hospitality. Consumer confidence waned slightly after the budget, reflecting concerns over economic stability. Despite reassurances about the financial system's resilience, the BoE’s financial stability report flagged heightened global risks, including geopolitical tensions and government debt vulnerabilities. This backdrop underscores challenges ahead for growth and inflation. Stocks featured: JD Sports, Kingfisher and Melrose Industries To find out more about the investment management services offered by Walker Crips, please visit our website: https://www.walkercrips.co.uk/ This podcast is intended to be Walker Crips Investment Management’s own commentary on markets. It is not investment research and should not be construed as an offer or solicitation to buy, sell or trade in any of the investments, sectors or asset classes mentioned. The value of any investment and the income arising from it is not guaranteed and can fall as well as rise, so that you may not get back the amount you originally invested. Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Movements in exchange rates can have an adverse effect on the value, price or income of any non-sterling denominated investment. Nothing in this podcast constitutes advice to undertake a transaction, and if you require professional advice you should contact your financial adviser or your usual contact at Walker Crips. Walker Crips Investment Management Limited is authorised and regulated by the Financial Conduct Authority (FRN: 226344) and is a member of the London Stock Exchange. Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.…

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Business Secretary warns of potential £20bn hit from a US-EU trade war 7:59

πριν περίπου ένα χρόνο7:59

7:59

Last week, the Bank of England (“BoE”) emphasised the labour market's critical role in shaping monetary policy. Policymakers stressed the importance of early 2024 labour market data amidst uncertainty of the budget's potential impacts on wages and employment. Inflation rose in October, with headline Consumer Price Index (“CPI”) at 2.3% and core inflation at 3.3%, driven by higher energy costs. Meanwhile, rental inflation rebounded, and retail sales slumped amid budget concerns. Flash Purchasing Managers’ Index (“PMI”) indicated the first contraction in output since 2023, as cost pressures and weak business optimism weighed. Consumer confidence dipped slightly in November, reflecting ongoing concerns about economic prospects despite resilient pay growth and employment levels. Stocks featured: CMC Markets, Games Workshop and Ithaca Energy To find out more about the investment management services offered by Walker Crips, please visit our website: https://www.walkercrips.co.uk/ This podcast is intended to be Walker Crips Investment Management’s own commentary on markets. It is not investment research and should not be construed as an offer or solicitation to buy, sell or trade in any of the investments, sectors or asset classes mentioned. The value of any investment and the income arising from it is not guaranteed and can fall as well as rise, so that you may not get back the amount you originally invested. Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Movements in exchange rates can have an adverse effect on the value, price or income of any non-sterling denominated investment. Nothing in this podcast constitutes advice to undertake a transaction, and if you require professional advice you should contact your financial adviser or your usual contact at Walker Crips. Walker Crips Investment Management Limited is authorised and regulated by the Financial Conduct Authority (FRN: 226344) and is a member of the London Stock Exchange. Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.…

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Burberry shares rise 12.6% despite weak first-half results 8:23

πριν περίπου ένα χρόνο8:23

8:23

Last week, UK economic data pointed to continued challenges and mixed signals. Third quarter gross domestic product (“GDP”) growth was disappointing, expanding by only 0.1% versus 0.2% expected, with September’s monthly GDP contracting at 0.1% as production weakened. The Bank of England’s (“BoE”) Chief Economist Huw Pill warned that global shocks could derail the UK’s disinflation process. Inflation remained sticky, particularly in services, and wage growth remained robust, complicating inflation targets. Grocery inflation edged higher, reflecting pressure on household finances, while public sector pay rises are now expected to outpace private sector pay. Furthermore, business confidence hit a 12-month low, driven by concerns over manufacturing and services outlooks, highlighting the significant economic headwinds the UK is facing. Stocks featured: Burberry Group, John Wood Group and Keller Group To find out more about the investment management services offered by Walker Crips, please visit our website: https://www.walkercrips.co.uk/ This podcast is intended to be Walker Crips Investment Management’s own commentary on markets. It is not investment research and should not be construed as an offer or solicitation to buy, sell or trade in any of the investments, sectors or asset classes mentioned. The value of any investment and the income arising from it is not guaranteed and can fall as well as rise, so that you may not get back the amount you originally invested. Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Movements in exchange rates can have an adverse effect on the value, price or income of any non-sterling denominated investment. Nothing in this podcast constitutes advice to undertake a transaction, and if you require professional advice you should contact your financial adviser or your usual contact at Walker Crips. Walker Crips Investment Management Limited is authorised and regulated by the Financial Conduct Authority (FRN: 226344) and is a member of the London Stock Exchange. Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.…

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US Election: S&P 500 and Nasdaq hit record highs 8:26

πριν περίπου ένα χρόνο8:26

8:26

Due to geopolitical uncertainties and a cautious market response to changes in fiscal policy, UK economic indicators were mixed. Growth slowed in the services sector, with the Purchasing Managers’ Index (“PMI”) hitting 52.0, reflecting hesitation from the Autumn Budget and geopolitical influences. Inflation data showed some improvement, especially in goods prices, providing a case for the Bank of England (“BoE”) to consider reducing policy restrictions. Meanwhile, the Monetary Policy Committee (“MPC”) voted towards a BoE rate cut to 4.75% to support confidence. The BoE downplayed the impact of an expansionary fiscal policy, but hinted that budget decisions might lengthen the rate cycle. Stocks featured: John Wood Group, TP ICAP Group and Wizz Air To find out more about the investment management services offered by Walker Crips, please visit our website: https://www.walkercrips.co.uk/ This podcast is intended to be Walker Crips Investment Management’s own commentary on markets. It is not investment research and should not be construed as an offer or solicitation to buy, sell or trade in any of the investments, sectors or asset classes mentioned. The value of any investment and the income arising from it is not guaranteed and can fall as well as rise, so that you may not get back the amount you originally invested. Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Movements in exchange rates can have an adverse effect on the value, price or income of any non-sterling denominated investment. Nothing in this podcast constitutes advice to undertake a transaction, and if you require professional advice you should contact your financial adviser or your usual contact at Walker Crips. Walker Crips Investment Management Limited is authorised and regulated by the Financial Conduct Authority (FRN: 226344) and is a member of the London Stock Exchange. Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.…

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What impact did Labour's first budget have on markets? 7:44

πριν περίπου ένα χρόνο7:44