Moody’s experts from around the globe and external guests join hosts Scott Phillips and Vittoria Zoli discuss macro, financial and credit trends shaping the world of emerging markets. Published by Moody’s Investors Service.
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Conversations with leading emerging markets movers and shakers on their personal journeys and insights into the countries in which they operate.
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Stories of startups from emerging and frontier markets.
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Venturing through 90+ countries, we’ve discovered one commonality. From Latin America, Africa, Asia, the Middle East to Eastern Europe, there are growing tech startup ecosystems transforming the world. Emerging market startups are generating market-creating innovations, leapfrogging Silicon Valley’s innovations, and solving local problems faster than governments. Join us to hear from startup ecosystem champions, entrepreneurs and investors in emerging markets. We discuss what makes these mar ...
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Emerging Markets are fast-changing and full of hope. With accelerating speed of change, predicting and understanding upcoming trends require a deep understanding of people and their cultures. Tassos Stassopoulos visits the homes of consumers in EMs to understand their beliefs, values and aspirations. In this series he shares his insights. Learn more at https://trinetra-im.com
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India's large domestic market shields its companies from external shocks, whereas Indonesia's export-dependent commodity sector prompts government efforts to diversify growth. Guests: Rachel Chua, VP-Senior Analyst; Sweta Patodia, AVP-Analyst Host: Vittoria Zoli, Analyst, Credit Strategy & Guidance, Moody's Ratings Related Research: Nonfinancial Co…
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Send us a text Kevin Carter, founder and chief investment officer of EMQQ Global, joined us to disucss his journey in the investment world, initiated by his transformative reading of "A Random Walk Down Wall Street," which led to him working alongside economist Burton Malkiel of Princeton University in creating multiple stock market innovations lik…
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Challenges include the region’s reliance on fossil fuels to meet energy demand amid population growth, the companies’ weak financials and governments’ reliance on revenue from oil and gas producers. Guests: Roxana Munoz and Carolina Chimenti, both Vice President - Senior Analysts, Corporate Finance Group, Moody's Ratings Host: Vittoria Zoli, Analys…
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Rate hikes in Turkiye have slowed inflation, and confidence in the country’s currency is increasing. The sovereign’s creditworthiness is improving as a result, along with that of Turkish companies. Guests: Kathrin Muehlbronner, Senior Vice President, Sovereign Risk Group, Moody’s Ratings; Iker Ballestero Barrutia, Analyst, Corporate Finance Group, …
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The opposition to proposed tax hikes impedes the government’s ability to increase revenue and reduce debt. Similar risks exist for other emerging market sovereigns too. Guest: David Rogovic, Vice President - Senior Credit Officer, Sovereign Risk Group, Moody’s Ratings Host: Scott Phillips, Head of Emerging Markets, Credit Strategy and Research, Moo…
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We have revised our aggregate EM forecast up slightly to 3.9% for 2024-25 to reflect faster-than-expected growth in some of the largest EMs so far this year. Disinflation continues but is slowing. Speaker: Madhavi Bokil, Senior Vice President, Credit Strategy at Moody's Ratings Host: Vittoria Zoli, Analyst, Emerging Markets at Moody’s Ratings Relat…
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The creation of a coalition government following 29 May elections will likely support broad policy continuity and reforms, but the risk of government instability and ineffectiveness is significant. Guest: Aurelien Mali, Vice President-Senior Credit Officer, Sovereign Risk Group, Moody's Ratings Host: Scott Phillips, Associate Managing Director, Cre…
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Moody’s Ratings experts discuss the fragile recovery and new threats in EMs, including macro conditions, default trends, credit risks for sovereigns and corporates, and bright spots. Host: Scott Phillips, Associate Managing Director, Moody’s Ratings Related Research: Fragile recovery in EM credit conditions will continue Emerging Markets – Global: …
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Send us a text In this episode of the INSEAD Emerging Markets Podcast, we speak with Asha Mehta, Managing Partner at Global Delta Capital, about her impactful career in finance, focusing on emerging and frontier markets through a lens of sustainability and responsible investing. Asha founded Global Delta Capital after working as an investment banke…
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Join Scott Phillips, head of EM at Moody’s Ratings, and Maciej Woznica, portfolio manager at asset management firm Coeli, for a tour of the least-developed emerging markets. Guest: Maciej Woznica, Portfolio Manager, Coeli Host: Scott Phillips, Associate Managing Director, Moody’s Ratings Related Research: Gradual recovery in emerging market credit …
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The default rate will decline to 3.3% by the end of Q1 2025, far below the peak of nearly 15% at the end of 2022 which was driven by the Russia-Ukraine war and China’s property market woes. Guest: Yang Liu, Vice President - Senior Analyst, Moody's Ratings Host: Scott Phillips, Associate Managing Director, Moody’s Ratings Related Research: Corporate…
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Moody’s analysts discuss the increased risk for sovereigns from escalation of the Israel-Iran conflict, and then shift to the growing demand for Islamic finance. Guests: Christian Fang, Vice President – Senior Analyst, Sovereign Risk Group, Moody’s Ratings; Badis Shubailat, Assistant Vice President – Analyst, Financial Institutions Group, Moody’s R…
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Send us a text Andrew Henderson is the Founder and CEO of Nomad Capitalist, the world's leading offshore consulting firm dedicated to helping clients make informed decisions on the best countries to invest, start a business and live in. Andrew has helped over 2,000 UHNW individuals go offshore and his YouTube channel has over 750,000 subscribers. N…
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Growth will slow in 2024 then stabilize in 2025 in most emerging markets. We have raised our forecasts for Asia, Central-Eastern Europe, the Middle East and Africa but lowered them for Latin America. Host: Scott Phillips, Head of Emerging Markets, Moody's Ratings Speaker: Vittoria Zoli, Analyst - Emerging Markets, Moody's Ratings…
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It will take time and effort for sectors like tech and EVs to drive China’s GDP growth, and geopolitics is a risk. But emerging markets supplying relevant goods and services to China stand to benefit. Guest: Gong Cheng, Managing Director - Credit Strategy, Moody's Ratings Host: Vittoria Zoli, Analyst - Emerging Markets, Moody's Ratings…
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Send us a text In this episode, Jorge Gonzalez Henrichsen joins us to share his unique path from investment banking and an MBA at NYU Stern to acquiring and then running company at the forefront of the nearshoring movement. He dives deep into both the geopolitical and macroeconomic ramifications of nearshoring and the nitty gritty of what it takes …
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China’s 2024 policy priorities and influence across Asia, the state of European consumers, Romania’s fiscal deficit, Argentina’s economy and Ecuador’s state of emergency are among the top stories. Guests: Lillian Li, Vice President – Senior Credit Officer, Moody’s Ratings; Ruosha Li, Vice President – Senior Analyst, Moody’s Ratings; Ariane Ortiz-Bo…
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A focus on West Africa, where bright spots shine through political, security and climate risks
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Positive developments include strong GDP growth in Côte d’Ivoire and Senegal, a lifting of sanctions on Niger, and a few countries tapping international bond markets so far this year. Speaker: Mickaël Gondrand, Assistant Vice President-Analyst, Sovereign Risk Group, Moody’s Investors Service Host: Scott Phillips, Associate Managing Director, Emergi…
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Send us a text In this episode of the INSEAD Emerging Markets Podcast, we were joined by Emily Chang, a powerhouse in the world of international marketing and business strategy. Currently CEO of VML West (and CEO of McCann Worldgroup in China at the time of recording), Emily's storied career spans influential roles at global giants like Starbucks, …
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State-contingent debt instruments gain traction in restructurings as sovereign defaults rise
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These instruments provide flexibility on debt-service payments and can help bridge differences in restructuring talks. Protracted talks delay critical structural reforms and increase default risk. Guest: David Rogovic, Vice President – Senior Credit Officer, Sovereign Risk Group, Moody’s Investors Service Host: Scott Phillips, Associate Managing Di…
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Recent interest rate cuts in Brazil, Chile, Colombia and Hungary are among the signs that EM financial conditions are improving. The primary market for EM bond issuance is likely to remain strong. Hosts: Scott Phillips, Associate Managing Director - Emerging Markets at Moody's Investors Service; Vittoria Zoli, Analyst - Emerging Markets at Moody's …
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Middle East, North Africa credit conditions are stable in 2024 despite elevated geopolitical risks
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Conditions are more stable for sovereigns, banks and companies in the Gulf Cooperation Council region than in North Africa and Levant. An escalation of the Israel-Hamas military conflict is main risk. Speakers: Christian Fang, Vice President – Senior Analyst, Sovereign Risk Group at Moody’s Investors Service; Badis Shubailat, Assistant Vice Preside…
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Redefault risk in Argentina, general elections in South Africa, financial conditions and debt affordability in Egypt, monetary policy in Turkiye and economic growth in China are top stories this year. Speaker: Marie Diron, Managing Director - Global Sovereign Risk - Moody's Investors Service Host: Scott Phillips, Associate Managing Director - Emerg…
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Emerging Market are changing fast, but while some topics and challenges might be shared with the developed world, the solutions are often starkly different. In this podcast Mike Ivatt discusses with Tassos Stassopoulos the growing importance of environmental awareness in Emerging Markets, and why EMs might be better placed to find the answers to en…
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Carbon transition, adaptation to climate change and climate finance – core topics at COP28 – are crucial for EMs because of their exposure to environmental risks and limited capacity to respond. Speakers: Rebecca Karnovitz, VP-SCO – ESG Research & Outreach at Moody’s Investors Service; Matt Kuchtyak, VP-Sustainable Finance at Moody’s Investors Serv…
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EM GDP growth will slow, largely because of China’s slowdown. Export-led EMs will suffer from weak global trade activity, but domestic-focused EMs will fare better. Pockets of inflation risk exist. Speaker: Vittoria Zoli, Analyst - Emerging Markets, Moody's Investors Service Host: Scott Phillips, Associate Managing Director - Emerging Markets, Mood…
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Emerging market central banks reassess pace of monetary easing as US Fed holds rates for longer
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Continued high US interest rates, strong US dollar and possible rise in commodity prices mean EM central banks are likely to recalibrate the pace, if not the depth, of their interest rate cuts. Speaker: Vittoria Zoli, Analyst - Emerging Markets, Moody's Investors Service Host: Scott Phillips, Associate Managing Director - Emerging Markets, Moody's …
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A focus on emerging markets as bond yields and oil prices oscillate, plus a deep dive on Egypt
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This podcast episode examines the effect of interest-rate and oil-price volatility on EM, inflation in Asia and Central-Eastern Europe, monetary policy in LatAm and Egypt’s weakening credit quality. Speakers: Vittoria Zoli, Analyst - Emerging Markets, Moody's Investors Service and Elisa Parisi-Capone, Vice President - Senior Analyst - Sovereigns, M…
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How recent US, UK, euro area monetary policy decisions, US dollar strength affect emerging markets
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Moody’s strategists discuss recent central bank decisions, EM financial conditions, US dollar strength and EM currency weakness, Poland’s election and India’s inclusion in an EM government bond index. Speakers: Vittoria Zoli, Analyst -- Emerging Markets, Moody's Investors Service and Steffen Dyck, Senior Vice President -- Sovereigns, Moody's Invest…
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Disinflation continues in EMs; Mexico’s industrial production rises; Gabon’s outlook turns negative
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Moody’s analysts discuss the country-specific reasons inflation is slowing in emerging markets; why Mexico’s industrial production is increasing; and how Gabon’s coup factored into its outlook change. Speakers: Vittoria Zoli, Analyst – Emerging Markets, Moody's Investors Service and Mickaël Gondrand, Analyst – Sovereigns, Moody’s Investors Service …
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In this episode, Moody’s analysts discuss the reasons for the current property-sector stress and the potential effects for developers, banks that finance them, local authorities and the economy. Host: Scott Phillips, Associate Managing Director – Emerging Markets, Moody’s Investors ServiceΑπό τον Scott Phillips
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Moody’s analysts discuss the growing use – and credit effect – of these transactions amid some sovereigns’ debt sustainability concerns and a need to invest in climate initiatives. Speakers: Thorsten Nestmann, Senior Vice President - Group Credit Officer, Sovereigns and Christopher Bredholt, Vice President - Senior Credit Officer, Public Project an…
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BSI Fund Chief Investment Officer Kojo Amoo-Gottfried joins Emerging Markets Decoded to discuss emerging markets topics including the macro perspective and investor sentiment toward the asset class. Speaker: Kojo Amoo-Gottfried, Chief Investment Officer, BSI Fund Hosts: Scott Phillips, AMD – Emerging Markets, Moody’s Investor’s Service; Vittoria Zo…
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Moody’s analysts discuss the economic and credit outlook for China, including the role of local government financing vehicles (LGFVs) and their debt burdens, and the latest on the property sector. Speakers: Lillian Li, VP-Senior Credit Officer, Moody’s Investors Service; Jessie Tung, VP-Senior Credit Officer, Moody’s Investors Service Host: Vittori…
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Moody’s analysts discuss the credit effects of South Africa’s energy crisis, including macro and social implications, as well as the government’s plans to address the crisis. Speakers: Aurelien Mali, Vice President – Senior Credit Officer, Moody’s Investors Service; Neil Griffiths-Lambeth, Associate Managing Director, Moody’s Investors Service Host…
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Moody’s analysts discuss updates to long-term sovereign debt forecasts, accounting for recent market conditions, including higher inflation and interest rates. Speaker: Lucie Villa, Vice President – Senior Credit Officer, Sovereign Risk Group, Moody’s Investors Service Host: Scott Phillips, Associate Managing Director – Emerging Markets, Moody’s In…
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Special guests Lee C. Buchheit and David Lubin share their insights on emerging market sovereign debt crises, the US dollar’s future as a global reserve currency, China’s evolving economy and more. Speakers: Lee C. Buchheit, Professor, University of Edinburgh; David Lubin, Head of EM Economics, Citi, Associate Fellow at Chatham House Host: Scott Ph…
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Send us a text Nicolas Rohatyn serves as Chief Executive Officer of The Rohatyn Group. TRG is a team of 190+ emerging market specialists in 18 countries dedicated to pursuing investment opportunities in these economies by focusing on areas of structural inefficiency and special opportunity. The firm has over $8 billion in assets under management an…
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Moody’s analysts discuss India’s growing manufacturing and infrastructure sectors, favorable demographics and potential to achieve significant scale across multiple sectors in the next decade. Speaker: Kaustubh Chaubal, Senior Vice President – Corporate Finance, Moody’s Investors Service Host: Scott Phillips, Associate Managing Director – Emerging …
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Moody’s analysts explore credit risks related to natural capital and biodiversity loss, why emerging markets are more at risk than advanced economies and which sectors are most exposed. Speakers: Lucia Lopez, VP – Senior Credit Officer, Moody’s Investors Service; Rahul Ghosh, MD – Sustainable Finance, Moody’s Investors Service Host: Kelvin Dalrympl…
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Cost-of-living crisis weakens social contracts across the globe, adding to global economic risks
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Moody’s analysts explore credit risks related to the social contract, and how a weakening in the contract is often associated with credit deterioration in the countries where it takes place. Speakers: Elisa Parisi-Capone, VP – Senior Analyst, Moody’s Investors Service; David Rogovic, VP – Senior Credit Officer, Moody’s Investors Service Host: Shiri…
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Making UHNW hospitality thrive through COVID and beyond - Yeshi Phuntso, Àni Private Resorts
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Send us a text In this episode, we spoke with Yeshi Phuntso, CEO of Àni Private Resorts about how his strategic focus on community engagement and employee empowerment has created a thriving brand. Àni is the world’s first private resort collection offering exclusive retreats in the most beautiful and far-flung corners of the earth, ÀNI Private Reso…
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Moody's analysts explore two downside scenarios to frame the likely impact of a US recession on EM corporates, combining lessons from past downturns with the many changes to the credit landscape in the years since. Speakers: Kelvin Dalrymple, VP – Senior Credit Officer, Moody's Investors Service; Vittoria Zoli, Analyst, Moody's Investors Service Ho…
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Send us a text Jamil Wyne is an INSEAD 18J and advisor, investor, professor and author focusing on climate, entrepreneurship, technology and economic development around the world, including a strong concentration on climate change. Worked with World Bank, IFC, UN, Clean Energy Venture Group, Catalyst Investment Management, Schmidt Futures, Wamda, a…
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Moody’s analysts explore the key themes and policy issues likely to be at the center of the upcoming World Bank and IMF Spring Meetings, including banking turmoil, tightening credit, ESG and more. Speaker: Marie Diron, Managing Director – Sovereign Risk, Moody’s Investors Service Host: Scott Phillips, Associate Managing Director – Emerging Markets,…
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Mark Zandi on Fed rate hike, banking stress, recession risks and implications for emerging markets
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The chief economist of Moody’s Analytics joins host Shirin Mohammadi to discuss the US Federal Reserve’s recent rate decision and response to banking stress, recession risks and more. Speaker: Mark Zandi, Chief Economist, Moody’s Analytics Host: Shirin Mohammadi, VP – Senior Research Writer, Moody’s Investors Service…
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Moody’s analysts discuss recent developments in the US and European banking systems, the implications for monetary policy and potential spillovers to emerging markets across the globe. Speakers: Donald Robertson, AMD – Financial Institutions, Moody’s Investors Service; Nick Hill, MD – Financial Institutions, Moody’s Investors Service; Eugene Tarzim…
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In this episode of Moody’s Talks – Emerging Markets Decoded, Nitish Bhojnagarwala of the Financial Institutions team and special guest Sohail Ali of DLA Piper join host Scott Phillips to discuss the outlook for Islamic finance across emerging markets. Plus, they dive into the intersection of ESG and Islamic finance, and the risks associated with “g…
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In this episode of Moody’s Talks – Emerging Markets Decoded, Ighosime Oyofo and Mik Kabeya of the Financial Institutions team and Lucie Villa of the Sovereign team join host Scott Phillips to discuss the credit implications of Nigeria’s presidential elections, with a focus on the banking system and the sovereign. Related research Government of Nige…
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Mass transit as a last mile logistics solution for SE Asian cities - Onno Pfeiffer, co-founder of Diolko
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Send us a text Onno Pfeiffer is an INSEAD GEMBA 19 and is the co-founder of Diolko. Diolko's sustainable last mile delivery solution leverages underutilized city infrastructure to improve quality of life for everyone by reducing both greenhouse gas emissions and traffic congestion. Subscribe and follow the INSEAD Emerging Markets Podcast on Spotify…
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