Join Grant Williams and his guests for a series of random walks around the fringes of finance and gain a better understanding of how the economic sands are shifting beneath our feet. https://www.grant-williams.com
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The Grant Williams Podcast Ep. 83 - David Murrin
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In the latest episode of The Grant Williams podcast, I’m joined by Global Forecaster, David Murrin who offers us some valuable insight into his background before we dive into a riveting discussion about lateral versus linear thinking, the cycles of empires, and the geopolitical tensions between the West and China. David argues that the West is in d…
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Jeff Sarti of Morton Wealth in Calabasas, CA joins me for a discussion around the ever-evolving dynamic between investor and manager the difficulties inherent in navigating changing economic circumstances through a more unconventional, more resilient approach to investing. Jeff explains how he and his colleagues try to think differently about inves…
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Doomberg and I discuss various topics including Donald Trump’s golf swing and the potential importance of his recent round with Bryson DeChambeau, the assassination attempt made on Trump’s life the week prior to its airing on YouTube, conspiracy theories surrounding the Kennedy assassination, the standing down of Joe Biden, and the potential nomina…
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In episode eight of Shifts Happen, Luke Gromen returns to discuss the current fiscal situation and its implications for rates trading, explaining how his views on the fiscal situation have made him unpopular among rates traders, as his predictions suggest that their industry may become obsolete. We also discuss the possibility that policymakers eit…
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In this episode of The End Game, Bill and Grant are joined by returning guest, Cem Karsan, founder of Kai Volatility, for a mind-bending conversation about the importance and influence of structural flows passive investing and structured products. Cem explains that the market is currently being supported by these structural flows, which have kept t…
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In this episode of The End Game, Bill and Grant are joined by the excellent “Le Shrub,” an anonymous Twitter account both of us have followed religiously for several years. Le Shrub discusses his approach to investing and his use of social media as a feedback loop mechanism. He also shares his views on Japan’s monetary policy, the role of gold and …
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In the latest episode of This Week In Doom, Grant and Doomberg turn their focus to China’s strategic push to become self-sufficient in semiconductor technology, drawing parallels to its successes in electric vehicles and solar energy. Along the way, Doomberg highlights China’s use of intellectual property theft and internal competition to establish…
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Joining Bill and me for the latest episode of The End Game is fintwit superstar Paulo Macro as we pick apart the problems facing a series of central banks and try to handicap the various outcomes they face as The End Game approaches. On the slate are the Japanese economy, the yen, the Chinese renminbi, and the outlook for gold, with Paulo suggestin…
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Joining me for this episode of The Grant Williams Podcast, is author Mark J. Higgins who has just published his excellent new book ‘Investing in US Financial History.’ We begin by discussing the overall importance of understanding financial history and segue into a conversation about the comprehensive narrative of the US financial system from 1790 …
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Joining Bill Fleckenstein and me once again is our favourite Aussie-based analyst, Gerard Minack, who returns to The End Game to discuss various topics including Japan’s economy and market, US fiscal and monetary policy, central bank independence, gold, and the US dollar. Gerard shares his views on Japan, explaining that while he believes the Japan…
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Steph and Grant return to discuss allllll kinds of stuff including (but not limited to) private credit, the Fed’s balance sheet (I know, I know) inflation and the reality around the market’s curious reliance upon rate cuts. Every episode of the Grant Williams podcast, including This Week In Doom, The End Game, The Super Terrific Happy Hour, The Nar…
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The Grant Williams Podcast Ep. 78 - Travis Kling FULL EPISODE
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My guest on this edition of The Grant Williams Podcast is Travis Kling of Ikigai Asset Management, who joins me to explore a concept gaining increasing traction in today’s market environment – financial nihilism. Along the way, we also discuss the delicate balance between keeping interest rates low and inflating our way out of debt, the challenges …
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Joining me on this episode of The Grant Williams Podcast is my great friend Brent Johnson of Santiago Capital, for a discussion about global markets and, of course, The Milkshake Theory. Brent explains how he uses the Theory as a framework to help him understand how a sovereign debt and currency crisis might play out and how, though he’s been uncer…
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Returning to the podcast this time out is Michael Howell of CrossBorder Capital, and what a return it is as we discuss the continuing (some would say escalating) importance of liquidity in global markets. Michael explains how central banks have been the main source of liquidity since the 2008 financial crisis, with their primary goal being to prese…
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Remi Tetot, the man behind The Mad King, joins me for a discussion around three of his most recent pieces of research. We discuss Remi’s observations around the Bitcoin ETFs and his views on the current up-cycle in crypto before switching to the growth potential of India, during which we discover a fascinating opportunity as India’s GDP expands wit…
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Join Doomberg and I as we discuss several topics sure to stir even the most languid of blood including the ongoing conflict between Russia and Ukraine, the changing nature of warfare with the rise of drone technology, and the concept of peak cheap oil. Doomberg’s argument that peak cheap oil is a fallacy and that human ingenuity will always find wa…
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The Grant Williams Podcast: Shifts Happen - Episode Seven FULL EPISODE
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A long-overdue episode seven of Shifts Happen sees Luke Gromen return to discuss the pace at which three things are happening: the acceleration of the US fiscal crisis and debt spiral, the Fed’s policy mistake of not letting inflation run hot enough, and the de-dollarization of global oil markets. Luke explains that China needs to de-dollarize its …
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As we ease our way into 2024, I’m delighted to welcome back my great mate, Julian Brigden to the podcast. Julian is the co-founder of independent research firm MI2 Partners and, as he’s demonsrated in previous conversations, a hugely insightful and incredibly entertaining guest! This time out, he and I discuss, amongst other things, the Goldilocks …
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Returning to The End Game as we begin the year with a bang are the brains behind Simplify, The Two Mikes, Green & Taylor who take turns picking apart just about ever facet of the financial and political spectrum. From the growth of passive investing and its potential impact on the market to the importance of understanding the holdings and flows of …
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The Grant Williams Podcast: Peter Zeihan - FULL EPISODE
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My guest in this edition of The Grant Williams Podcast is a man who finds both himself and his field of expertise at the very heart of recent events in Ukraine, geopolitical strategist and author, Peter Zeihan. Peter’s books, The Absent Superpower, The Accidental Superpower and Disunited Nations have been incredibly helpful to me in understanding t…
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Joining me for the final episode of The Grant Williams Podcast in 2023 is returning guest, Michael Oliver, the brains behind Momentum Structural Analysis (MSA) – one of the most original and, in my experience, accurate forecasters of asset prices right across the spectrum. In a hugely enjoyable conversation, we discuss the current state of the mark…
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In the penultimate episode of The Grant Williams Podcast for 2023, I’m delighted to welcome Jesper Koll, a long-time resident of Japan and former Chief Strategist and Head of Research for U.S. investment banks J.P. Morgan and Merrill Lynch for a discussion about the current state of the country’s economy and the many Western misperceptions about th…
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The Green Chicken is back to discuss three excellent recent pieces spanning Western sanctions against Russian oil and their unintended consequences, the preposterous words of a high-ranking member of the US House Ways & Means committee around the 'creation' of hydrogen and the ongoing attempts to wean the world off a diet of meat. As always, Doombe…
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Returning to The Grant Williams Podcast for the latest episode is my dear friend, and most requested guest, Felix Zulauf. Once again, Felix offers a comprehensive roadmap for the coming months, including another tour de force assessment of bond markets, equity markets, currencies, commodities and the various (and mounting) geopolitical challenges f…
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As Sam Bankman-Fried is found guilty on all seven counts in the biggest crypto-related trial to date, I’m joined by author Zeke Faux, whose scintillating new book Number Go Up: Inside Crypto’s Wild Rise and Staggering Fall has been the must-read book of the summer for me. Equal parts hilarious, head-scratching and powerful, Zeke does a tremendous j…
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Returning to The End Game is The Lord of the Dark Matter himself, James Aitken. Among the topics under discussion is the (under appreciated) potential for a normalization cycle by the Bank of Japan. James suggests the BOJ may attempt a policy rate normalization due to structural reforms and the need to revitalize the equity culture in Japan which, …
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Diana Choyleva of Enodo Economics joins me on the latest episode of The Grant Williams Podcast to discuss the current state of China’s economy and its relationship with the US. Diana highlights the challenges China is facing, including demographic issues, over-investment, and the need for productivity growth and she also discusses the role of digit…
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In the latest episode of The Super Terrific Happy Hour, Steph and Grant are joined by an all-star panel of guests to discuss the macro environment as it pertains to inflation and how each of them is using their vast experience to position themselves correctly for the way they see the inflationary pulse playing out. James Davolos of Horizon Kinetics…
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Joining me on the latest episode of The Grant Williams Podcast is my great friend, David Hay, Co-CIO of Evergreen GaveKal and the author of the excellent Substack Haymaker. Dave and I have known each other for the best part of fifteen years and have spent countless hours debating markets, testing hypotheses and helping each other understand and cha…
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Joining me on the podcast for this episode is Chris Joye, Founder and Chief Investment Officer of Coolabah Capital Investments in Sydney Australia, a multi-billion dollar long/short credit fund founded in 2011. I’ve been following Chris for a number of years and was delighted to finally get the chance to talk to hm and the conversation more than li…
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Joining me on the latest episode of The Grant Williams Podcast is Marvin Barth – a man whose path through the financial maze has encompassed just about every facet of the industry. From the US Treasury, to the Federal Reserve, the BIS, the sell-side, the buy-side and now a proprietary independent research business, Marvin’s wealth of experience has…
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Joining us for this episode of The End Game is Kris Sidial, Co-Chief Investment Officer of The Ambrus Group, a tail-risk manager specializing in volatility strategies. Kris and his team seek to offer investors tail-risk protection without the associated 'bleed' in premium during times of dampened volatility so, with September fast-approaching, we t…
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Joining me in the latest episode of The Grant Williams Podcast is entrepreneur Richard O'Leary, President of Culture Tech, a fascinating project seeking to use technology to catalog and secure the rights of artists and creators in an increasingly fragmented and complex world. Through his background as a senior marketing executive, Richard's deep un…
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The subject at hand in episode six of Shifts Happen is the potential for a new commodity-backed BRICS currency and, joining us to kick the idea around is Josh Crumb, Founder and CEO of Abaxx Technologies. Through his work at Abaxx, Josh is perfectly placed to discuss the importance of physical settlement in the commodity markets and the practical l…
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Joining me fr this episode of The Grant Williams Podcast is Tom Bachrach, CIO of PFH Capital, a value investing partnership in the Philadelphia area. Several of Tom's letters to his investors caught my eye in recent months and so I invited him onto the show to talk to me about how an investor looking for undervalued, sustainable businesses goes abo…
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Joining me in this episode of The Grant Williams Podcast is the Sydney-based CEO of Freelancer.com, Matt Barrie. Matt was recently invited to give the opening keynote at the Sydney Morning Herald's Sydney 2050 Summit and, it's safe to say that, once Matt left the stage 40 minutes later, the room had been stunned into silence. The Australia Matt lai…
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Joining me in this episode of The Grant Williams Podcast is Matt Stoller, former Congressional staffer and author of Goliath: The 100-Year War Between Monopoly Power and Democracy and the excellent Substack BIG. Matt's work on the threat posed by monopoly power is exceptional and, in this fascinating conversation we cover the challenges he's faced …
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Joining me on this edition of The Grant Williams Podcast is returning guest, Danielle DiMartino Booth, CEO and Chief Strategist at QI Research, LLC in Dallas, TX. Danielle's knowledge of the inner workings of the Federal Reserve has been invaluable both to her clients and the broader financial community in recent years and her analysis of the predi…
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Episode Five of Shifts Happen brings into focus the recent 'quickening' around the de-dollarization narrative and the impossible-to-ignore elevation in comments from world leaders questioning the logic underpinning their forced adoption of the US dollar in many cross-border trades. From the numerous bilateral trade agreements being struck that circ…
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Bill and Grant return for a no-holds-barred conversation with the great Steve Eisman of The Eisman Group within Neuberger Berman. Steve is no stranger, thanks both to his exploits during the GFC and the stupendous portrayal of those exploits by Steve Carell in the movie version of Michael Lewis' wonderful book, The Big Short. Steve explains the his…
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Author Brendan Ballou joins me to discuss his superb new book, Plunder: Private Equity's Plan to Pillage America in the latest episode of The Grant Williams Podcast. After graduating Columbia and Stanford Law, Brendan served as a Federal prosecutor and Special Counsel for Private Equity in the Justice Department's Antitrust Division, where his mand…
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In the ninth episode of The Narrative Game, Epsilon Theory's Dr. Ben Hunt returns to discuss the narrative aspects of the sudden surge in mainstream commentary around the drive towards de-dollarization on the part of China, Russia, Iran et al. Suffice to say, all is not what it might seem. Elsewhere, with the indictment of former President, Donald …
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My returning guest in this edition of The Grant Williams Podcast is my friend Peter Atwater, Founder of Financial Insyghts and Adjunct Professor at the College of William & Mary. Peter's stellar work on the importance of mood and confidence has long been an important touchpoint for me when evaluating market conditions and likely paths ahead - never…
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My guest on this episode of The Grant Williams Podcast is Diana Choyleva, the Founder and Chief Economist of Enodo Economics, an independent macroeconomic and political forecasting company that focuses on China and its global impact. Our conversation centres, of course, around China, as Diana explains how her background growing up in Bulgaria has h…
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Julian Brigden of MI2 Partners returns to the podcast to cast a considered eye over the macro landscape. With a litle help from Xenia Onatopp, Plenty O'Toole and Pussy Galore, Julian explains why James Bond movies offer useful clues to aid our understanding of current conditions and why investors may not be as invincible as they perhaps believe the…
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My returning guest on this episode of The Grant Williams Podcast is a dear friend of many years - Simon Hunt, founder and proprietor of Simon Hunt Strategic Services. Simon's experience in China over four decades has provided me with an important counterpoint to many Western-based views of the Middle Kingdom over the years - one firmly rooted in pe…
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OK Folks, buckle up as things are about to take a turn for the extra-terrestrial as my guest, David Dorr of Dorr Asset management returns to the podcast to discuss the recent spate of Unidentified Flying Object sightings which has been blanketing the media over the last several weeks. David has been following this story for many years and he joins …
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This Week In Doom Ep. 13 - Traincrash Journalism - FULL EPISODE
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In the latest episode of This Week in Doom, The Green Chicken discusses a couple of recent pieces the Doomberg team published which have attracted a significant level of attention. One covers the recent train derailment in East Palestine, OH, the other Seymour Hersh's article about the destruction of the Nord Stream Pipeline. As always, Doomie does…
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After a hiatus forced by technical issues in the editing bay, we're back with the first of three new episodes this week - this time featuring my special guest Michael Howell of Crossborder Capital, who returns to the show to talk about liquidity in a fast-changing market environment. After a useful primer on the different ways of thinking about liq…
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My returning guest in this edition of The Grant Williams Podcast is David Dorr of Dorr Asset Management. David returns to discuss the fallout from FTX, the toppling dominoes it may set in motion, and what it means for the likes of Binance, DCG and Tether. Every episode of the Grant Williams podcast, including This Week In Doom, The End Game, The Su…
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